It wasn’t very long ago that Governor Scott Walker (R-WI) was the politicians’ du jour on the right, and it looked like he was picking up a big head of steam as the 2015 political campaign started. However things have been kind of quiet on the Scott Walker front for a few weeks now. With the announcements of Ted Cruz (R-TX), Rand Paul (R-KY), Marco Rubio (R-FL), the obvious pre-announcement moves of Jeb Bush (R-FL) and the many, many mistakes from Hillary Clinton (D-NY), Walker has had a hard time getting his name back in the daily news cycle.
Not anymore though.
A just released poll from the Democrat firm Public Policy Polling (PPP) found that Governor Walker was a BIG favorite in Iowa. Walker is getting 23% support, while Marco Rubio comes in second with 12% and Jeb Bush third with 10%.
Walker has the highest favorability out of anyone in the field, with 59% of voters viewing him favorably to 13% who have an unfavorable view. The key to Walker’s success is that he’s winning both among voters who are most concerned about electability in the general election and among voters who are most concerned with having the most conservative candidate. Among voters who say being able to win in the general is their top priority, Walker gets 21% to edge out Marco Rubio (20%) and Jeb Bush (17%). His lead is much more emphatic among voters saying conservatism is their top priority- with them he gets 29% to 14% for Cruz, 12% for Paul, and 10% for Huckabee.
Rubio’s second place standing reflects his recent rise nationally. Boding well for him is that beyond being in second place overall, he is also tied with Walker for being the most frequent second choice of voters at 13%. That gives him a lot of room to grow if other candidates falter along the way.
Bush’s third place finish is because he really continues to struggle with conservative voters in the key early states. Overall he only has a 38/37 favorability rating, and that’s because with those identifying themselves as ‘very conservative’ he comes in at 30/45. He only polls at 2% as the first choice for the nomination with that group, putting him in last place. He still finishes third overall due to solid performances with moderates and voters identifying as just ‘somewhat conservative.’ Bush’s 12% standing is steady though- it’s where we found him when we last polled the state a year ago as well- Iowa so far just doesn’t seem to be a very strong place for him.
This is big news and very good news for Scott Walker and his supporters. Walker is probably the only candidate (other than Rand Paul) with a good shot at winning both Iowa AND New Hampshire – two states known for their very different, and very passionate electorate. If Walker could win these two early states, it would likely cement him as the GOP standard bearer for 2016, though the primaries are still a long way off.
The views expressed in this opinion article are solely those of their author and are not necessarily either shared or endorsed by EagleRising.com