A slew of interesting polls surfaced this week, and while it is still very early, they have some great information for us to wade through. While polls are never perfect, as I think we’ve learned in recent years, they do offer a snapshot of what the electorate is thinking, and taken altogether, they usually lead us in the right direction. The very smart folks at The Upshot and at FiveThirtyEight have been making a name for themselves over the last few elections as they’ve developed models that seem to predict future elections pretty accurately, so we know that these early polls do have important information for us.
Let’s start in Arizona where Senator John McCain (R-AZ) has decided that he will indeed be returning for another run for the Senate in 2016. Conservatives in Arizona are tired of the war hero’s representation, so they plan to primary him out of the competition. GOP Reps. Matt Salmon and David Schweitzer seem like the likeliest candidates to challenge the senior Senator, and a recent poll shows that they may have reason for optimism. The left leaning PPP finds that incumbent Senator John McCain (R-AZ) has a lot to worry about in his upcoming likely primary battle. 51% of primary voters would like to see a “more conservative” option as the GOP candidate for Senator in 2016! Could this really be the end of the road for John McCain?
In Iowa, things are looking very bleak for Jeb Bush. In the most recent Quinnipiac University poll, a full 25% of Iowa Republicans say that they would NEVER vote for Bush! That is not a good way for the Presidential hopeful to start the primary season. However the news is far better for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, who still holds a BIG lead in a Iowa with 21% of the likely primary vote. If Walker can win Iowa and New Hampshire, he may come out of the early primary states looking quite unstoppable.
The last of the recent survey results may be the most interesting, though, because it seemingly upends one of the Democrat Party’s favorite talking points about the GOP. It seems that when you ask the richest Americans who their favorite candidate is… Hillary Clinton wins a resounding victory! In CNBC’s recent “Millionaire Survey” Clinton proved to be the most popular candidate among American millionaire’s, beating out the wealthy’s GOP favorite, Jeb Bush, by a score of 53% to 47%.
One wonders how the Democrats get away with using the “Party of the Rich” rhetoric against the GOP when survey after survey shows that the rich support the Democrats in equal numbers and that Democrat lawmakers are also wealthier than their GOP counterparts. It’s a mystery, isn’t it?
So, do these polls actually mean anything? No, they don’t. But they do give us an early indicator of the direction that the average American is moving in. Will Iowans remain hostile to Jeb Bush? Will Arizona finally send John McCain riding off into the sunset? Will the media finally acknowledge that the Democrat Party is the “real” Party of the rich? We won’t get a solid answer on any of this for months, but we can look at these results and we can hope.
The views expressed in this opinion article are solely those of their author and are not necessarily either shared or endorsed by EagleRising.com