Midterm Elections: Are Republicans In Trouble?

Republican strategists are reportedly worrying about the midterm elections and losing the House majority.

I am passing on this news about Republican prospects for the midterm elections not because I think the appraisals of Republican strategists are accurate but because I want to remind conservatives how important it is to vote. The worries seem similar to what was being said before the Presidential election when everyone was saying that the Republicans in Congress were going to experience “down-ballot damage” from Trump’s defeat.

What will actually happen? I don’t know. But I’m going to make sure I vote and not despair!

Byron York writes in the Washington Examiner, “After ’30 days of sh-t,’ GOP midterm elections fear rises.

From time to time I’ve been catching up with a Republican strategist who is trying to help the GOP keep control of the House in this November’s midterm elections. It’s been an up-and-down ride.

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“I would put the odds of keeping the House at exactly 50-50,” he told me in January.

“I get how bad things seemingly are,” he said during a particularly tumultuous time in April. “But if the election were today, I’d bet my son’s college tuition we’d keep the House.”

He was even more confident by June. […]

And now: “The last 30 days have been really bad. I really wouldn’t want to have the election today.”

Looking back, each change in the strategist’s mood has been the result of whatever President Trump was doing at that particular moment. His current anguish is the product of what he called “30 days of sh-t.” By that, he meant the period of time beginning with Trump’s decision to separate families crossing illegally into the United States and ending with his performance at the Helsinki summit.

Both hurt Republicans, the strategist said, but probably the Trump-Putin summit hurt more. When the president met with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, he said, many Republican-targeted voters saw a certain method in the madness. It actually helped GOP candidates. But when Trump met Vladimir Putin, those voters didn’t see the method part.

If the past is any lesson, memories will fade. But the problem going forward is that as future Trumpian incidents occur, Republicans will have less and less time to recover before Nov. 6.

“The next couple of weeks/months are critical in that we have had peaks and valleys before, but they always got fixed,” the strategist said. “The fear is that we’re running out of time and maybe they won’t get fixed.”

Read the full column.

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