Only four days away from Election Day, early and absentee voting numbers have already crushed the nationwide figures from 2014 midterm elections.
But it’s still going to be a tough row to hoe given the seats that are up for grabs. But this is an encouraging turnout for Republicans!
Is NBC is finally admitting the truth, but only to mobilize Democrats to vote?
NBC: GOP leads in early voting nationwide https://t.co/L151kaVtRq
— mark harry (@mharry860) November 2, 2018
It won’t be a blue wave, NBC reports today, at least not if early voting is any indication. Thus far, in a record turnout, Republican voters hold the edge by a slim two-point margin in ballots already cast in the midterms. The turnout model thus far looks more similar to 2014 than 2016:
Six days out from Election Day, over 24 million votes have been counted as early or absentee, a number that exceeds the total nationwide early vote from 2014.
As of Wednesday, 24,024,621 million early and absentee ballots have been counted nationwide in all states with early voting activity. …
As of Wednesday, 43 percent of early voters are Republican and 41 percent are Democrats. At this point in 2016, 43 percent of early voters were Democrats and 40 percent were Republicans.
It’s a narrower lead than in 2014, but it’s still a lead. It cuts against the expectation of an oversized Democratic turnout that led to the “blue wave” predictions for most of this cycle. It also calls into question whether the turnout models used by pollsters will accurately reflect the final results — assuming that Democrats don’t turn on the afterburners on Election Day, anyway. Pollsters largely missed the mark on turnout models in 2016, and it’s very possible they’ve failed to learn their lesson in time for this election.
However, don’t forget that Democrats don’t necessarily need a “blue wave” to win back the House. The GOP has three dozen House retirements with which to contend, as well as the need to hold onto gains made at expense of Democrats that may see voters returning to type when a Republican holds the White House. More
Hopefully, all Republicans and supporters of President Trump will show up and vote at the polls. Whether it’s early voting or on election day it is still very important that we all vote for America and our way of life. Vote like your freedom depends on it because it really does.
“Older whiter homeowners?” Why not just say “those racist honkeys…” I’m sick of being painted as a racist simply because I’m white and want to pay fewer taxes.
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