Polling data seems to show Donald Trump impervious to Democrats’ attacks.
It must be disconcerting for Democrats, as the midterm elections approach, to find Trump impervious to everything that has been thrown at him. Democrats our counting on the fact that more people “strongly disapprove” of Trump than “strongly approve” of him. They think that means they will have more voters show up at the polls. But they’re not considering how many people strongly disapprove of the DNC and the media. They are going to want to make sure they are kept away from power.
Of course, we won’t know the outcome until after the election.
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The Hill reports, “Dems grapple with Trump’s resilience.”
President Trump’s approval rating is largely unchanged in the first polls to emerge after his widely criticized performance at last week’s joint press conference with Russian President Vladimir Putin — and Democrats are scratching their heads.
An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released on Sunday showed Trump’s approval rating rising to 45 percent, his highest level in that poll since taking office. And an Economist/YouGov survey showed no significant deviation from Trump’s numbers the previous week.[…]
Democratic explanations for Trump’s resiliency encompass several factors: the strength of the economy; his voters’ tendency to discount negative press coverage as a product of the “fake news media”; and the visceral connection he enjoys with his base, partly because of his willingness to press cultural hot buttons relating to race, immigration and related issues.
But Democrats also argue that Trump’s base is not big enough to bring sustained electoral success, either in November’s midterm elections or in his 2020 reelection race.[…]
Different findings even within the same polls can lead to very different conclusions, however.
In the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, for example, the share of Americans who said they strongly approve of Trump, 29 percent, was far outweighed by the 44 percent who strongly disapprove.
That should mean Democrats can expect much greater intensity among their base — a factor that could be vital since Democratic-leaning voting blocs tend to turn out less reliably in midterm elections than in presidential contests.
On the other hand, the same poll showed that the Democrats’ lead in the so-called generic ballot — where voters nationwide are asked which party they would prefer to control Congress — had shrunk to 6 percentage points. This is a notable slippage from the 10-point advantage the party enjoyed just a month before.
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