If Catalonia secedes, the Spanish threats raise the possibility that the central government would invade Catalonia.
What exactly could Spain do other than invade Catalonia if the region decides it is independent? How else can they make good on the promise that Spain won’t be divided and that national unity will be preserved? Either the Spanish Prime Minister is bluffing or he will order troops to invade Catalonia. The police already invaded the region to stop the vote on independence.
Catalan president Carles Puigdemont hasn’t revealed the precise message he will deliver Tuesday evening with separatist politicians expecting some sort of declaration based on the results of the disputed Oct. 1 referendum on independence.
At stake is the territorial integrity of Spain, threatened by a growing separatist movement that is sorely testing the strength of its constitution and the skill of its national and regional leaders.
Some expect a strictly symbolic declaration, while others believe a risky full-scale break with Spain will be attempted, even as Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy vows he will use all lawful means to keep Spain intact.
The Spanish leader has said he is willing to use a constitutional clause that allows Madrid to take over direct control of regions if they violate Spain’s constitution — a move that could apply in this case because Spain’s constitutional court had suspended the referendum.
Its results are therefore considered invalid under Spanish law.
“Spain will not be divided and the national unity will be preserved. We will do everything that legislation allows us to ensure this,” Rajoy told German newspaper Die Welt. “We will prevent this independence from taking place.”
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