Either GOPcare will fail to pass or it will become law and fail much worse.
The impression I get from this AP story is that GOPcare will never become law. There are already two senators committed to voting against the bill. Only one more negative vote among Republicans and the bill cannot pass (Democrats are all going to vote against it, of course). And we know that many Republicans are against the bill. I doubt Mitch McConnell will be able to convince them all to hold their noses and vote for GOPcare despite their objections.
The failure to pass GOPCare will not be nearly as bad for the party as the failure that GOPCare will be if it passes.
The Associated Press reports, “McConnell reveals new health bill; will his GOP support it?”
However, allowing insurers to offer bare-bones plans threatens to alienate moderates and perhaps other conservatives. And the measure retains cuts in Medicaid — the health insurance plan for the poor, disabled and nursing home patients — that moderate Republican senators have fought.
The legislation, the Senate GOP’s plan for rolling back much of President Barack Obama’s health care law, faces a do-or-die vote next week on which McConnell has no margin for error. Since Democrats uniformly oppose the effort, McConnell needs the votes of 50 of the 52 GOP senators to prevail, and two seem certain to vote “no” — conservative Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and moderate Sen. Susan Collins of Maine.
Conservative Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, has demanded language letting insurers sell plans with minimal coverage, as long as they also sell policies that meet strict coverage requirements set by Obama’s 2010 statute. Moderate Republicans have objected that the idea would make policies excessively costly for people with serious illnesses because healthy people would flock to the cheaper coverage.
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