The Democrats have run a few startlingly bad campaigns this year, perhaps none so devastatingly awful as Martha Coakley’s campaign to be the next Governor of Massachusetts.
She has taken what should have been a walk-over campaign and handed it to her Republican challenger, Charlie Baker.
Charlie Baker maintains a 7 percentage point lead in the race for governor in the final Boston Globe poll before Tuesday’s election, suggesting that the Republican is in a strong position to win the election over Democratic rival Martha Coakley.
Forty-four percent of likely voters say they support Baker, a former health care executive and state Cabinet official, while 37 percent say they intend to cast their vote for Coakley, the sitting Massachusetts attorney general.
“Unless there’s a dramatic change of events . . . this looks very solid for Baker,” said Globe pollster John Della Volpe.
Nearly all Bay State Republicans — 91 percent — support Baker, who was also the party’s nominee for governor in 2010. Coakley, however, who lost a special election for the US Senate in 2010 to Republican Scott Brown, has earned the support of just 71 percent of Democrats, according to the Globe survey.
Baker is dominating among men, 50 percent to 32 percent, while Coakley’s lead among women voters is much narrower, 42 percent to 39 percent with 13 percent undecided, according to the poll.
Self-described moderates prefer Baker, 48 percent to 31 percent.
“When you take the long view,” said Della Volpe, “you can make a case that Charlie Baker has consistently moved in one direction” — up.
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